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8.19.2010

News Dump - ShoWare Video board edition

A few news items I thought were worthy.

- Kent City Counsil voted 6-0 to spend a cool 225k to build a video board that will sit outside of ShoWare Center. This is awesome news and should help the building promote the Thunderbirds and their other events.

- Spokane Chiefs announced yesterday that they will hold an outdoor game against Kootenay. I personally think the outdoor game concept is starting to get worn out but I still think this is pretty cool. Dave Trimmer has the story on the game.

- Portland is thinking about where they are going to play after the 2013 season and people are already speculating about the possibility of them moving to Victoria should a plan to improve the Memorial Coliseum fail. Let's all hope that doesn't happen.

8.16.2010

Training Camp Schedule

I was sent the Training Camp Schedule just moments ago.

Here are the times. All skates will be held at ShoWare unless specifically specified.

Prospect Camp:

Thursday, August 26th: 5:00pm - 7:00pm
Friday, August 27th: 8:00am - 10:00am AND
Friday, August 27th: 4:30pm - 6:30pm at Kent Valley Ice Centre
Saturday, August 28th: 10:00am - 12:00 noon

Main Camp:

Saturday, August 28th: 6:00pm - 8:30pm
Sunday, August 29th: 6:00pm - 8:30pm
Monday, August 30th: 6:00pm - 8:30pm

8.10.2010

20 Year Old Situation

As many of you know, Seattle has only one 20 year old player returning from last season and that would be defensemen Brenden Dillon, who is a virtual lock to be back and make this roster this season.

This leaves the Thunderbirds with the ability to add two 20 year old players to the roster.... if they want.

One thing I see as a very real possibility is the Tbirds carrying only two 20 year olds on the roster instead of the maximum allowed three.

Why would Seattle do this? Quite simply, playing time. Take one look at this roster and you'll see a roster loaded with young players. Seattle already has 6 defensemen returning from last season that saw significant playing time in the form of Dillon, Bonsor, Fleming, Aasman, Ramsay and Muth. If you include Austin Frank and newly acquired import Dave Sutter in that mix you'd have 8.

Up front you have 10 likely returners in Troock, Rouse, Silvester, Gallimore, Lund, Wells, Jacobs, Lockhart, Elliot and Alos. Add to that Noebels and possibly Sanvido and that number grows to 12 forwards and 20 total players.

I don't have much doubt that any 20 year old player acquired would likely be an upgrade over the players at the bottom of this roster. Adding a quality player would most certainly improve this team in the short term. The real question lies in how that acquired player would possibly adversely affect the playing time and development of a younger player.

Put it this way...

Let's say this team is still 4th or 5th in what looks like a very tough U.S. Division. Wouldn't you rather see Alos, Elliot and Troock on your 1st or 2nd Power Play unit instead of a 20 year old player that won't be around for what appears to be a pivotal 2011-12 season?

Given that, I still believe that Seattle will go get one 20 year old. I just wouldn't hold your breath waiting for Russ Farwell to go out and get two of them.

Let's take a look at what might be out there.

Brandon: Darren Bestland, Jordan Hale, Mark Schneider, David Toews and Shayne Wiebe.

Brandon has a ton of 20 year olds and they have more than I have even bothered to list here. Jacob DeSerres and Andrew Hayes are also 20, but neither are coming to Seattle. Bestland and Schneider are defensemen and I don't think Seattle is going in that direction. This leaves Shayne Wiebe, Jordan Hale and David Toews as possibilities. My guess would be that Brandon keeps Toews, making Hale and Wiebe available... with Wiebe carrying a higher price tag than Hale.

Everett might have someone like Daniel Iwanski available but trades within the division are always tough so I wouldn't look for any deal like that to happen.

Medicine Hat will also likely have several forwards available as they will probably only keep one of a group that includes Joey Frazer, Taylor Gal, Tristin King and Matt MacKay. You could pick a name out of a hat... I'm not sure any of the 4 would specifically appeal to Seattle. King is the tallest of the bunch at 6'0" so I'll say maybe they would have the highest interest in him.

Moose Jaw will have a few players available including former Tbird Spencer Edwards, along with Thomas Frazee and Dylan Hood. Moose Jaw could do any number of things, but in a situation where they would keep Bosch and Rowinski they would only keep either Frazee or Hood. Frazee is 6'4" and had 55 points last year. Gee... you think they might be interested in a 6'4" Center who had 55 points last season. I'm thinking they do... but they could also go after Hood as well.

Prince Albert could have Colin Redden or Jordan Hickmott available.

Red Deer... you're looking at maybe Brett Ferguson.

Saskatoon has several choices... including Sena Acolatse and Jeremy Boyer who might find themselves looking for a job. They also have Randy McNaught (6'5") and Travis Toomey (6'4") who are big tough forwards.

Don't get too attached to this very loose "breakdown" of the 20 year old situation as things are pretty fluid and they are changing all the time.

UPDATE: I don't think this changes Seattle's situation at all but to show just how fluid the situation really is... Kelowna just acquired Brendon Wall reducing their number to 4. Reddin or Hickmott could still conceivably be a target.

7.28.2010

Schedule Breakdown

By comparison, this season's tentative schedule is much better for the team.

Last season, Seattle had some difficult travel sets like the November 6-8th stretch where they played in Kent on Friday the 6th, Portland on Saturday the 7th and Chilliwack on Sunday the 8th.

Or the very next weekend where they went Kamloops to Everett and back to Vancouver in a 3 day stretch.

Travel is obviously a part of Junior Hockey so I'm not making an excuses for the team.... The only point here is that the schedule in 2010-11 is much easier.

In addition, I believe last season they had somewhere between 9 and 11 "3 in 3's" (I didn't look it up) and this season they only have 6 stretches where they play 3 games in 3 nights.

The toughest stretch, as far as number of games, appears to be at the end of December and January where starting on December 28th the Tbirds will play 18 games in just 35 days.

Overall... this is probably as close to ideal as Seattle could get. Now all they have to do is go out and start winning some games... gulp.

The Schedule is out

Link to the schedule can be found here.

Counting very quickly...

Home games by day of the week:

Tuesday - 7
Wednesday - 2
Friday - 7
Saturday - 14
Sunday - 6

I'm going to take a good hard look at the schedule a little further and come back to break it down later.

6.29.2010

Second 1st Round Selection...

Thunderbirds select Dave Sutter from Switzerland.

6'4"
195 lbs
Defense

Sutter played last season for the Swiss National Team at the U-18 registering 2 assists in 6 games.

I will update as I find more.

The pick...

Is Marcel Noebels of Germany.

Noebels was a member of the Krefeld Juniors but also played for Krefeld's top club Krefeld Pinguine. As a member of Jungadler Mannheim he helped them to back to back DNL league titles in 07/08 and 08/09. Listed as a Center, Noebels is 6'2" and 192 lbs.

He also was a member of the German U18 team that won a Gold Medal last year in the 2nd Division of the U18 tournament, leading all players in goals, assists and points.

Here are a few links for your digestion.

Elite Prospects
Hockey's Future
USA Today

Import Draft News

Seattle is literally moments away from making their 1st selection in the 2010 CHL Import Draft but the Tbirds are already making quiet news this morning as they have somehow acquired another 1st round Import selection from the Red Deer Rebels, the 34th overall selection in the draft.

This most certainly means that Mikhail Sentyurin will not be back with the club next season.

No word yet on how Seattle acquired this pick, I'm sure we will hear soon.

Gotta run to the office, I'll be back with some information on the pick about to be made.

6.21.2010

Pickard makes the short list

Let's kick the tires on the blog a little bit here as we approach the NHL Entry Level draft on Friday and more importantly the CHL Import Draft on the 29th.

Calvin Pickard today was named to the short list of four goaltenders invited to compete for a spot on Canada's Junior National team.

Not much of a shock here as I think Calvin is likely the best Junior goaltender in Canada right now but I'm probably just a tad bit biased on that.

Jean-François Bérubé from Montreal and Olivier Roy from Acadie-Bathurst of the QMJHL join Pickard and Mark Visentin from Niagara of the OHL as the 4 goaltender that will compete for the final two spots.

Obviously I think Calvin should make the team but with two older goaltenders on the list you never know what might happen.

Link can be found here.

The most obvious story coming out of the NHL Entry Draft on Friday (as far as Tbird fans will be concerned) will be the where and to whom Calvin Pickard gets drafted... but there will be perhaps a more interesting story to watch for Tbird fans.

Brad Holland of nhl.com has a mock draft that places Seattle list player Jason Zucker being selected by the Anaheim Ducks with the 29th overall selection in the 1st round. If Zucker is drafted that high, might the Ducks send him to Seattle knowing he would get a ton of ice time? or would they allow Zucker to fulfill his commitment to Denver U. in the fall of 2010.

5.03.2010

Farwell sticks to his guns for Bantam Draft selections

I'm not feeling creative at all, so we're just going to do this bullet point style.

- The big buzz heading into the draft was whether Seattle would use their #4 overall selection on American phenom Brian Williams. Obviously, Seattle and the rest of the U.S. Division teams (and WHL teams) were pretty scared that Williams would not report or may not report immediately and Williams fell all the way to Tri-City in the 8th round where the Americans took the gamble that Williams might eventually come to the WHL. In a perfect world, I would love to think that Seattle would have been able to convince Williams to report to the Tbirds next season (2011) and selected him with the 4th overall pick but it usually doesn't work that way. I'm totally fine with the Tbirds not taking him with the selection given he obvious risk involved.

- Instead of Williams, Seattle selects another defensemen out of Calgary and this year it is 6'4" Jared Hauf. I don't like the selection, here's why.... Just like every Bantam Draft that has come before this one, none of us really know how these kids will turn out. You're drafting 14 year old kids who haven't finished developing physically or mentally in any way, shape or form. By my estimation, drafting Bantam players is probably 25% skill and 75% luck. The 4th overall selection probably won't make or break your franchise for the next 5 seasons but it can go a long way towards building a solid foundation. Hauf was rated as the 18th best skater available by Hockeyprospect.com and 31st by ISS. The top 3 selections were Centers, so if Seattle went into the draft leaning towards taking a defensemen they literally had the pick of the litter and with that selection they selected a kid that was projected to possibly be a 2nd round pick.

Hauf might turn out to be the next Jared Cowen, I have no idea and neither does anyone else... and if Hauf does turn out to be a great player I'll be the first person to congratulate Russ Farwell for making an excellent selection. The problem is that Farwell has now left the door wide open for criticism if this kid doesn't succeed. Just like none of us know whether Hauf will be any good, we also don't know if Joshua Morrissey, Jesse Lees, Kayle Doetzel, Tyler King-Cunningham, Madison Bowey, Keegan Kanzig or Joel Topping will be any good. The problem is that all of those players were rated higher on one or both of the scouting lists going into the draft. So if Hauf doesn't become a very good player and any of these players becomes a star it will be easy for fans to second guess the selection.

- So how did this happen? How did Seattle select the 18th/31st rated skater with the 4th overall selection? Here is my guess... We heard all week that Seattle might have been shopping the 4th overall selection. Farwell must have decided that Hauf was the guy he wanted, the guy he liked and the guy Seattle was going to select no matter what. Knowing that, he knows that he can probably trade down as far as 15th and still have Hauf available to select. When Farwell doesn't get what he wants out of any of the teams below them he decides to just take the guy they like at #4 even if they would have also taken him later in the first round. The fact that Hauf wasn't the top rated defensemen didn't matter to him because that is the player they liked and they weren't going to change the selection just because they had the #4 pick instead of the #15 pick.

Based on this "best guess" I have to give a lot of credit to Farwell for sticking to his guns. They obviously targeted the guy they liked and the guy they wanted and they didn't care one bit whether he was ranked 18th, 31st or 150th. That takes guts... it takes a lot of guts. Let's all hope that it works out. You'll have to excuse me for being just a little bit skeptical given our past track record of draft selections.

- Seattle continued their emphasis on defense by selecting two more defensemen in the 2nd and 3rd rounds to go with a forward in the 3rd round as well. I talked a lot on draft day about the size of the players that Seattle selected and there has been a lot of "fan talk" about how Seattle must be trying to "copy" the Portland model after getting pushed around by the Winterhawks this past season. I wouldn't look too much into the draft selections and think they are trying to "copy" Portland. The fact of the matter is, it really doesn't matter whether you draft tall players or short, fast skaters... they just need to be good hockey players and the size of the player is only one factor in evaluation. I would probably lean more towards the theory that when you draft guys that have already grown into their bodies a little bit you don't have to worry about whether they will grow additionally over the next 3-4 years. So instead of looking at it like Seattle is drafting "size" I would look at it more like they are drafting "established size". Either way... we have to hope they turn into good hockey players. Portland isn't good because they are big, they are good because they are good and they are a tough matchup for Seattle because they are good AND they are big.

- Farwell makes a nice little trade at the end of the draft, giving up their 8th, 9th and 10th round selections to Brandon for their 7th round selection next season. 7th round selections can often come in handy where Seattle really didn't have room on their list for any more draft picks this season and your 8th-10th round picks are less valuable. Brandon needed extra selections this year. Nice trade by Russ.

- Nice to see the Tbirds take a local kid with their second selection in the 7th round, taking Brad LeLievre from Mill Creek. Seattle hasn't had a 7th rounder make the team since Yashar Farmanara, who was drafted in 2002. Wouldn't it be nice to see a local kid playing for the 'Birds. In case you forgot, Tyler Alos was a 6th round selection... so sleep on the possibility that this kid might be pretty darn good.

That's all for now. It will probably get pretty quiet around here for the next few months. Hope everyone has a great summer... Rookie Camp is less than 4 months away.

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